No, He Can't Because Yes, They Will
Obama's mantra, "Yes, We Can" is inspiring and heartwarming, but in the end is an empty phrase that will founder once the Republican political attack machine spins up. I realize that most Obamatons are so wedded to his vision of hope that any effort to point out the cracks in the foundation of the new Democratic Savior are met with fury and disdain.The Republicans have been happy to lay low in hopes that Obama would take out Clinton - the one they really fear. Both Paul Krugman and Kevin Drum. Obama has a rabid following of young almost cultish supporters not unlike George McGovern many years ago.
If you think for a minute that the Republican party -- who used Willie Horton on Michael Dukakis to devastating effect, who portrayed triple amputee and veteran Max Cleland as a bosom buddy of Osama Bin Laden, and convinced many voters that decorated combat veteran John Kerry was a fraud -- will give Obama a pass come the fall then you are in serious denial.
But, unlike the attacks on Dukakis, Cleland, and Kerry, the ammunition that Obama has provided to his political foes is significant and deadly. But try telling that to Obama disciples. You get name calling and character assassination (just read the reaction to this piece). At the same time, Obama is treated with a reverence and fawning that I have never seen in my life for a political figure.
So, while Democrats engage in self-censorship and promote the worst kind of affirmative action pandering in promoting the myth of Obama, the Republicans are keeping mum and, like Brer Rabbit, begging not to be tossed into the briar patch and face the fearsome Obama. (Want to bet how many accusations of racism I will get for referring to Brer Rabbit?)
Obama's untested achilles heel is his relationship with three men -- Tony Rezko, William Ayers, and Rashid Khalidi. These names will become shorthand for Corruption, Terrorism, and the Destruction of Israel. Oh yes, I know. I am going to extremes. Well, let me lay out the facts and explain how the Republicans will likely use these relationships to bludgeon Obama's presidential aspirations into dust. My challenge to you Obama supporters is to explain to me and other readers of this blog how Obama will defuse these issues.
There has been a great deal of talk about the "Super Delegates" the last few weeks and yes, they may end up deciding it. They were created in order to avoid another McGovern. Now I'm not saying Obama can't win or perhaps I should say that McCain can't lose. John McCain certainly has a lot of problems; his age and temper not to mention the Iraq war which could easily boil over between now and November. Regardless of what you hear from the right the surge has not been a success.
I still have Clinton Fatigue and I'm still disgusted by her campaign but this is too important and not a time to take chances. The result is I'm going to flip flop once again and throw my support to Hillary Clinton.
Empty Suit Update
Steve Soto on why the Democrats will lose in November is Obama is the nominee.
Obama went without a teleprompter tonight in Texas, and ended up giving not a victory speech for Wisconsin, but rather a good but rambling summary on why he, but not necessarily the Democratic Party should take the presidency. The media of course loved it, because he is on his way to the nomination. Nevertheless, despite the superior oratory and the cheering crowds, if tonight is any guide what exactly are the Democratic Party getting with Obama as their presumptive nominee?We can only hope that it will still be close enough that the dreaded "Super Delegates" can save the party from defeat.
They will not be getting a nominee who can take the gloves off against McCain. Even though he spoke less than an hour after John McCain lobbed the “inexperience” charge at him and called him out for being unready to lead the country, Obama could only find it in himself to mention McCain by name only once by my account, and even then, he qualified his remarks with how much he revered McCain.
They will not be getting a nominee who can define differences between the parties. Obama seemingly only mentioned “Republicans” in the context of reaching out to them, while letting their leaders off the hook, as if the last seven years of graft, corruption, and circumvention of the Constitution were bipartisan in origin. Obama aimed his attack not against the party which controlled Washington for the better part of this decade and which controlled Congress for the better part of the 1990’s. Rather, he aimed his critique against both parties and Washington as a whole, as if Democrats are equally culpable for the country’s problems. If tonight is any guide, Democrats will be getting a nominee who runs just as often against them as Republicans. They will be getting a nominee who shows little stomach for holding the Republican Party in general and John McCain particularly accountable for what they have done to this country. His campaign seemingly has an easier time carving up a female Democratic opponent than they do a Republican standard-bearer who represents Bush’s third term, and who questions Obama’s fitness for office.