I explained my feelings about the byzantine primary election system
below. I agree it's broken - some think it's the super delegates that are unDemocratic, others think it's the caucus system. I agree with both of them. So what would I take into consideration if I were one of the super delegates? (It should be understood that I am leaning towards Obama at this point.)
This is what I would consider to make my decision:
- The popular vote in states that actually held a primary not a caucus.
- Who seems to have the most momentum at the time?
- Who has the lead in an average of national polls at the time?
- Who is most likely to be able to win in November?
You will notice that I don't take actual delegate counts into the equation. I don't really consider the caucuses to be anymore "Democratic" than the super delegates themselves. Even in state with a primary there is no consistency in assigning delegates based on the popular vote.
