If the last few electoral cycles have done nothing else, they have revealed this dark underside of the American political system. Various interest groups have been aware of this dynamic for years and have played all sides against the middle to accomplish a variety of goals -- social, corporate, or other -- playing Democrats against Republicans, contributing to both sides depending on the expectation of a return on those investments. Of all the threats that can be leveled at an elected official in an otherwise "safe" district, the most chilling is the threat of getting primaried. (New dictionaries will soon be forced to list primary as a verb.) The reality of a primary challenge is less real than the fear that it may happen. But interest groups, like the Godfather who makes an offer you cannot refuse, have become skilled at oblique suggestions that a primary challenger may be in the wings.
Primary challenges are usually waged on the basis of scandal or the perceived ineptitude of the incumbent, or are a result of redistricting or racial divisions. There is some relationship between ideological primary challenges and changes in party support in the electorate. For the most part, however, the rhetoric behind “primarying” may be an effective tool for ideological groups to threaten moderate incumbents, but this rhetoric bears little resemblance to the reality of congressional primary competition. This rhetoric by itself, however, may be effective, particularly within the Republican Party, in heightening partisan divisions. [emphasis added]So here is is the AFL-CIO punch list of concerns for the 2014 midterms. Expect either real or possible primary challengers to be part of the political arsenal. Democrats and their historic social and labor allies have been energized by President Obama's first term and are rising to the challenges now causing gridlock in Washington.
- Budget Cuts (likely to be proposed in as many as 29 states)
- Health Care Reform (22 states)
- Immigration (16 states)
- Paycheck Deception/Restrictions on Public Sector Payroll Deduction (20 states)
- Project Labor Agreements (19 states)
- Prevailing Wage (22 states)
- Privatization (31 states)
- Public Education (37 states)
- Public-Sector Benefits (31 states)
- Public-Sector Layoffs (16 states)
- "Right to Work" for Less (15 states)
- Tax Issues (17 states)
- Teacher Tenure (20 states)
- Unemployment Insurance (20 states)
- Voter Suppression (19 states)
- Workers' Compensation (26 states)
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