Tacitus: "Without a draft Iraq is lost"

Although I disagree with Tacitus that the Iraq war could ever be won he will now admit it can't be won with the volunteer army. In Battle fatigue he tells about a friend in the military who is getting out as soon as possible and concludes with:

The volunteer soldiers have proven themselves fine warriors. But the volunteer Army has failed. This is its first war of any meaningful length, and its lessons are clear: it cannot sustain this effort, through no fault of its own, because, in the end, its discrete parts are rational actors. It is impossible to externally incentivize war. The choice is therefore between that Army's continuance and a draft. If the choice is for its continuance, then the subsequent choice will probably be between losing Iraq and losing the Army. Losing Iraq will be a strategic disaster for the United States. But losing the Army would be the end.

I agree that "The volunteer soldiers have proven themselves fine warriors. But the volunteer Army has failed.", I disagree that losing Iraq "will be a strategic disaster for the United States" but agree that losing the Army will be a disaster.