Is Bush Toast????

Zogby seems to think so.

"The most recent Zogby poll shows deeper trouble for President George W. Bush beyond just the horserace. Mr. Bush has fallen in key areas while Senator John Kerry has shored up numerous constituencies in his base. The Bush team’s attempted outreach to base Democratic and swing constituency has shown to be a failure thus far, limiting his potential growth in the electorate."

Some of the key areas Zogby is talking about:
The numbers from theSouth are perhaps the most striking.

• Viewed Favorably: Bush-55%, Kerry-55%


• Bush's Job Approval: 44%


• Is the country going in the right direction?: Yes-43%

Kerry's improvement in the south is probably due to several factors; the Edwards pick as VP, inroads with veterans and the military and economics.
A serious attempt has been made to court hispanics, Catholics and Jews with no success.

"The Bush campaign’s efforts to court voters in the Hispanic, Jewish, and Catholic communities seem to have fallen flat. Mr. Kerry is leading Mr. Bush by a similar margin to that which former Vice-President Al Gore won among Jewish voters in 2000. Mr. Bush is also running far behind his 2000 Hispanic total, with only 19% of the Hispanic voters supporting him, while Mr. Kerry is beating Mr. Gore’s total with 69%. Mr. Kerry is also running very strong among Catholics, topping Mr. Bush, 52% to 37%, showing that not only has Bush’s courting of them failed, but his use of wedge issues like gay marriage and partial birth abortion have failed to separate Catholic voters from Kerry."

Kerry is beating Gore's 2000 numbers in almost all areas, especially among young people,53% to 33%. Zogby thinks that the real trouble is Bush has little or no way to improve his numbers.
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